ERJ: Rubber & tire industry in numbers
EU tire capex... 'Green' tire market... Price/mix trend... Tire input costs... EV market trends... Rubber share prices.. Materials prices...
Review of the key figures and data to emerge this week from leading players in the tire & industry:
Projects & investment
Capital spending among Europe’s largest tire manufacturers is on a recovery track, having declined from over 8% in 2016-18 and 7.5% in 2019 to around 6.4% in 2022. (See chart above).
Hankook Tire has awarded Hyundai Movex an '$82m' contract to supply logistics automation for its tire manufacturing plant in Clarksville, Tennessee. The project will deliver smart logistics capabilities as part of Hankook’s ongoing €1.6-billion expansion project at the US site.
Sustainability
The market for ‘green’ tires market is set to almost triple in value over the next 10 years to reach $86 billion by 2033, according to Black Donuts, in a release highlighting its R&D priorities in the sustainability arena.
Tire market
HSBC Global Research: Michelin, Continental Tires and Pirelli are on track to see “unprecedented” price/mix increases of 27%, 35% and 41% respectively between 2020 and 2023, said the study titled ‘EU tyre makers: defying pricing pressure’.
TIPI (tire input price index) declined 21% as of 4 Dec 2023 vs the 2022 average and 31% from its peak level in June 2022. Given a delay of around six months between spot prices and their impact on P&L – raw material deflation started to benefit companies’ P&L in H2/23. (See chart above)
Global Tire Report 2023: Group Michelin is the world’s largest tire maker with 2022 tire-related revenue of $28.3bn, well ahead of no 2 Bridgestone’s estimated $26.6bn, Goodyear’s $17.9bn – with a full year of revenue from the Cooper Tire & Rubber assets acquired in mid-2021 now incorporated – and Continental Tires’ $12.4bn.
Electric vehicles
ACEA report: By the end of 2022, China accounted for 57% of the global share of sales, 60% of the global electric vehicle fleet, and 75% of global battery production capacity.
ACEA report: Production capacity for battery cells is estimated to reach 1.1 TWh by 2030, with European, Korean and Chinese battery manufacturers taking 44%, 27.5% and 26.8% of the market share respectively.
Share prices
Development of leading rubber processors’ shares in 2023
Company
|
3-4 Jan (approx.)
|
14-15 Dec (approx.)
|
Change year-to-date
|
Akwel
|
€17.90
|
€15.28
|
+14.6%
|
Cooper Std
|
$9.50
|
$18.17
|
+91.3%
|
Datwyler
|
CHF192
|
CHF204
|
+6.3%
|
Hexpol
|
SEK112.70
|
SEK118.60
|
+5.2%
|
Trelleborg
|
SEK245.70
|
SEK335.80
|
+36.7%
|
Materials prices
Synthetic rubber
Synthetic rubber pricing* depicted a mixed picture over the trading week ended 8 Dec, the latest data compiled by ChemAnalyst shows. (See table above)
Natural rubber
Selected NR futures price trends on major trading exchanges
Exchange
|
Commodity
|
Delivery
|
Week to 01/12
|
Week to 08/12
|
% Change
|
Osaka
|
RSS3
|
May ‘24
|
256.7 (JPY)
|
237.5 (JPY)
|
-7.5%
|
SHFE
|
SCR/RSS
|
Jan ‘24
|
13,545 (CNY)
|
13,260 (CNY)
|
-2.0%
|
INE
|
TSR
|
Feb ‘24
|
10,410 (CNY)
|
10,325 (CNY)
|
-0.8%
|
SICOM
|
TSR20
|
Mar ‘24
|
145.9 (US$c)
|
145.6 (US$c)
|
-0.2%
|
LAST WEEK’S NUMBERS
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